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Original research

Expansive soil by county

How much of each state and county sits on high shrink-swell clay, from the USDA's detailed soil survey.

Updated October 27, 2026 · Data as of October 27, 2026

Written by HyreFoundation Research Desk Primary-source research and fact checking

The finding

An expansive soil map by county, built from the USDA's detailed soil survey (SSURGO): 15.1% of the rated soil acres in the U.S. have high or very high shrink-swell potential, meaning a linear extensibility of 6% or more in the top meter.

Another 24.7% are moderate. The states with the largest high-shrink-swell share are Kansas (44.2%), South Dakota (41.6%), Louisiana (41%), Missouri (36.6%), Texas (32.9%).

At county level, Stanley County, South Dakota (95.5%), Jones County, South Dakota (95.3%) and Hunt County, Texas (94%) are almost entirely high-shrink-swell soil. The full list of 3,363 soil survey areas is in the CSV.

The headline numbers

15.1% of rated U.S. soil acres have high or very high shrink-swell potential NRCS SSURGO
3.7% are very high (linear extensibility 9% or more) NRCS SSURGO
Kansas state with the largest high-shrink-swell share (44.2%) NRCS SSURGO
3,363 soil survey areas measured, most of them single counties Soil Data Access

What is expansive soil, and how is it measured?

Expansive soil is clay that swells when wet and shrinks when dry. NRCS measures it as linear extensibility (LEP).

Shrink-swell class of mapped U.S. soils (share of rated acres)Very high (LEP 9% or more) — 3.7 %11.4%High (LEP 6 to 9%) — 11.4 %24.7%Moderate (LEP 3 to 6%) — 24.7 %60.2%Low (LEP under 3%) — 60.2 %Source: USDA NRCS SSURGO via Soil Data Access, queried October 27, 2026. Top 100 cm, highest-LEP layer per soil component.
Share of rated soil acres in each NRCS shrink-swell class, United States. USDA NRCS SSURGO, Soil Data Access.

LEP is the change in length of a soil clod as it dries from moist to oven-dry.

NRCS rates shrink-swell potential as low under 3%, moderate from 3 to 6%, high from 6 to 9% and very high above 9%.

Above 3%, it says, shrinking and swelling can damage buildings, roads and other structures, and special design is commonly needed (NRCS Field Office Technical Guide, physical properties).

A house on this soil rises and drops with the seasons. Uneven movement is what cracks slabs and walls. See expansive clay soil and why foundations move.

Which states have the most expansive soil?

By share of rated acres with LEP of 6% or more. The least affected states are District of Columbia (0%), Connecticut (0.1%), Maine (0.1%), New Jersey (0.1%), Alaska (0.2%).

Kansas44.2%
very high: 11.1%
South Dakota41.6%
very high: 21.4%
Louisiana41%
very high: 27%
Missouri36.6%
very high: 13%
Texas32.9%
very high: 10.8%
Illinois27.6%
very high: 0.8%
Oklahoma27.4%
very high: 3%
Arkansas25.7%
very high: 9.5%
Montana24.3%
very high: 2.2%
Iowa23.6%
very high: 2.5%
North Dakota21.1%
very high: 8%
Mississippi20%
very high: 11.7%
Oregon19.3%
very high: 2.2%
Arizona17.3%
very high: 3.3%
Colorado16.2%
very high: 0.6%

Which counties have the highest share of expansive soil?

Soil survey areas of 50,000 rated acres or more, ranked by the share with high or very high shrink-swell potential. Most survey areas are one county; some combine two or more.

Soil survey areaHigh or very highVery highModerateRated acres
Stanley County, South Dakota95.5%91%2.1%906,594
Jones County, South Dakota95.3%55%1.7%613,006
Lyman County, South Dakota95.2%90.8%1.6%1,024,037
Hunt County, Texas94%48.2%6%475,825
Humphreys County, Mississippi92.1%62%7.3%243,557
Navarro County, Texas91%59.6%5.8%573,466
Kaufman and Rockwall Counties, Texas90.7%52.5%6.4%513,067
Fillmore County, Nebraska90.5%64%5.6%367,912
Orleans Parish, Louisiana90.2%89%9.5%70,765
St. Bernard Parish, Louisiana89.8%88.6%4%158,426
Audrain County, Missouri89.6%66.2%2.8%443,648
Haakon County, South Dakota88.8%45.8%7.3%1,151,619
Matagorda County, Texas88.4%53.1%7.6%622,127
Jackson County Area, South Dakota, Northern Part87.4%56.3%6%496,425
Menard County, Texas86.7%0.1%7%515,030
Shelby County, Missouri86.3%61.8%11.5%319,792
Swisher County, Texas86%7.1%12%573,162
Lamar and Delta Counties, Texas85.2%31.8%11.3%672,845
Jefferson Parish, Louisiana84.4%69.1%11.6%125,268
Monroe County, Missouri83.7%55.8%14.2%414,067
Falls County, Texas83.7%43.4%6.1%443,956
Long Valley Area, Arizona83.6%66.3%2.7%443,503
Floyd County, Texas83.4%6.1%7.5%624,770
Miami County, Kansas83.1%12.7%16.3%362,236
Sharkey County, Mississippi83%75.1%16.3%257,456
Tensas Parish, Louisiana82.8%77%8.5%370,873
Clay County, Nebraska82.2%34.6%11.2%366,001
York County, Nebraska82.2%10.9%7.9%366,976
Randolph County, Missouri81.7%35.3%9.9%307,183
St. Charles Parish, Louisiana80.8%47.1%16.8%144,896

Expansive soil share for every state

StateHigh or very highVery highModerateRated acres
Kansas44.2%11.1%36.7%51,629,697
South Dakota41.6%21.4%35.1%48,024,800
Louisiana41%27%20.2%23,669,174
Missouri36.6%13%34%43,157,604
Texas32.9%10.8%28.1%145,169,153
Illinois27.6%0.8%54.8%33,896,985
Oklahoma27.4%3%27.5%40,328,441
Arkansas25.7%9.5%16.2%30,551,670
Montana24.3%2.2%34.1%84,473,691
Iowa23.6%2.5%62.4%35,236,556
North Dakota21.1%8%42.4%44,041,609
Mississippi20%11.7%11%28,450,774
Oregon19.3%2.2%28.5%49,778,593
Arizona17.3%3.3%25.7%58,310,843
Colorado16.2%0.6%26.4%57,295,205
New Mexico15.4%0.1%39.6%65,189,642
Wyoming13.6%1.9%37.2%48,316,045
California13.5%2.4%23.6%82,441,261
Nebraska13%4%31.2%48,705,678
Nevada12.6%0.3%28.2%61,402,557
Minnesota11.7%4.2%37.7%45,675,839
Ohio11%0%56.6%24,212,583
Alabama10.2%3%17.9%28,085,926
West Virginia9.7%0%12%12,196,123
Kentucky8.9%0.6%32.3%22,728,299
Wisconsin8.3%1.6%24.6%31,657,949
Indiana8.1%0.2%56.4%21,915,966
Idaho8%0.5%22.7%44,292,158
Utah7.4%0.3%28.9%34,377,294
Virginia6%0.6%22.2%21,084,573
Hawaii5.5%4%9.3%3,148,922
North Carolina4.8%0.8%11.7%27,808,482
South Carolina4.2%0.4%12.6%18,531,679
Michigan3.7%0.7%16.7%33,521,403
Tennessee3.7%1.2%22.7%24,906,184
Rhode Island3.3%3.3%0.7%631,938
New York3.2%0.3%5.5%25,430,880
Georgia3.1%0.2%6.5%33,862,642
Florida2.3%0.1%5.2%30,578,273
New Hampshire2.3%0.4%1%4,714,650
Washington1.8%0%14.7%34,855,892
Maryland1.7%0.1%10.2%5,544,136
Vermont1.2%0%4.6%5,676,782
Pennsylvania1%0%12.6%27,477,441
Delaware0.5%0%5.9%907,921
Alaska0.2%0%5.5%272,276,821
Massachusetts0.2%0%0.6%4,294,371
Connecticut0.1%0%1.2%2,557,103
Maine0.1%0%5.5%18,873,804
New Jersey0.1%0.1%10.3%4,043,168
District of Columbia0%0%18.6%19,848

What this means for your house

A county share tells you how common expansive soil is, not what is under your lot. Two houses on the same street can sit on different soils. To check your own lot, look it up in the free NRCS Web Soil Survey or have a geotechnical engineer test it before building or major repair.

If you live on expansive soil, steady moisture around the foundation is the main defense: good drainage and grading, gutters that discharge away from the house, and no big swings from heavy watering to none. Cracks that keep widening need a licensed structural engineer. Our foundation cracks guide shows which ones to watch.

Method

Data pulled

USDA NRCS Soil Survey Geographic Database (SSURGO) through the Soil Data Access Tabular service, queried state by state on October 27, 2026.

Per soil

For each soil component, we took the highest representative linear extensibility (lep_r) of any layer starting in the top 100 cm. Acres per component = map unit acres times component percent.

Per area

We summed component acres by LEP class for each soil survey area (legend areasymbol) and state. Shares are of rated acres: components with no LEP value, such as water, rock outcrop and some urban land, are left out.

Limits

Survey areas are not always counties. The analysis does not weight by where houses are, so a county with clay farmland and sandy towns can score high. Survey data is mapped at field scale and does not replace a site test.

How to cite or embed this data

You may reuse the figures and the CSV with attribution (CC BY 4.0). Link back to this page so readers can see the method.

Citation: HyreFoundation Research Desk. (2026). Expansive soil by county. HyreFoundation. Data from USDA NRCS SSURGO via Soil Data Access, retrieved October 27, 2026. https://hyrefoundation.com/research/expansive-soil-by-county/

Embed snippet (paste under your chart or table):
<p>Source: <a href="https://hyrefoundation.com/research/expansive-soil-by-county/">Expansive soil by county</a>, HyreFoundation analysis of USDA NRCS SSURGO via Soil Data Access (retrieved October 27, 2026).</p>

Dataset: /research/expansive-soil-by-county.csv, built from the public source named above. Recompute it from the source if you need a later cut.

Questions

Where is expansive soil most common?
By state share of rated acres: Kansas, South Dakota, Louisiana, Missouri, Texas. At county level, parts of South Dakota, north and central Texas, the Mississippi Delta and southeast Louisiana top the list.
What counts as expansive soil here?
Soil with a linear extensibility of 6% or more, which NRCS rates as high or very high shrink-swell potential.
Does a high county share mean my house is on expansive soil?
No. It means the soil is common there. Check your lot in the NRCS Web Soil Survey or with a geotechnical test.
Why are some counties combined?
NRCS maps soil by soil survey area. Most are a single county, but some cover two or more, and a few cover national forests or other land.
Can I download the data?
Yes: /research/expansive-soil-by-county.csv, all 3,363 soil survey areas.

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HyreFoundation Research Desk

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  • Primary sources only. Code statements come from the International Residential Code, Chapter 4, as the model code. Soil statements come from USDA and USGS. Insurance statements come from the policy language and the Insurance Information Institute. We open the source rather than cite a blog that cites it.
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Data as of October 27, 2026. Authorship on this site is organizational: the analysis belongs to the desk rather than to a named individual, and we do not publish credentials we do not hold. Our editorial policy sets out how we source, date and correct what we publish.

The data behind this page

Every figure on this page is computed from one file, and that file is published here so the analysis can be checked, disagreed with, or reused.

Download the dataset (CSV)

Sources & retrieval dates